Benchmark priors for Bayesian model averaging
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Benchmark Priors for Bayesian Model Averaging
In contrast to a posterior analysis given a particular sampling model, posterior model probabilities in the context of model uncertainty are typically rather sensitive to the specification of the prior. In particular, “diffuse” priors on model-specific parameters can lead to quite unexpected consequences. Here we focus on the practically relevant situation where we need to entertain a (large) n...
متن کاملPredicting waste generation using Bayesian model averaging
A prognosis model has been developed for solid waste generation from households in Hoi An City, a famous tourist city in Viet Nam. Waste sampling, followed by a questionnaire survey, was carried out to gather data. The Bayesian model average method was used to identify factors significantly associated with waste generation. Multivariate linear regression analysis was then applied to evaluate th...
متن کاملA Bayesian model averaging approach with non-informative priors for cost-effectiveness analyses.
We consider the problem of assessing new and existing technologies for their cost-effectiveness in the case where data on both costs and effects are available from a clinical trial, and we address it by means of the cost-effectiveness acceptability curve. The main difficulty in these analyses is that cost data usually exhibit highly skew and heavy-tailed distributions, so that it can be extreme...
متن کاملMixtures of g-priors for Bayesian Model Averaging with Economic Applications
We examine the issue of variable selection in linear regression modeling, where we have a potentially large amount of possible covariates and economic theory offers insufficient guidance on how to select the appropriate subset. In this context, Bayesian Model Averaging presents a formal Bayesian solution to dealing with model uncertainty. Our main interest here is the effect of the prior on the...
متن کاملTuned Bayesian Model Averaging
In this paper, we suggest an empirical Bayes-type prior for the model space in Bayesian model averaging (BMA) in a method we call tuned Bayesian model averaging (tBMA). This method relies on leave-one-out cross validation to choose a hyper-parameter that will cause the averaging process to favor either smaller or richer models in the prior distribution over the models. We find that this method ...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Econometrics
سال: 2001
ISSN: 0304-4076
DOI: 10.1016/s0304-4076(00)00076-2